Wednesday, October 01, 2008

Back and Forth We Go

The latest polls have Obama ahead in FL, OH, and PA. Which basically means there's no way McCain can win. McCain will need all three of these states or two of the three plus almost all of the smaller swing states.

Barring any huge error by the Obama/Biden camp, this election looks to be sewn up.

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5 Comments:

Blogger Dixie said...

Counting chickens early it looks like to me:) You're probably right, though, but still...

3:22 PM, October 01, 2008  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey Eric, Are you familiar with the Bradley effect? With a narrow lead, it could be a factor in the swing states that you are coloring blue.

8:15 PM, October 01, 2008  
Blogger Eric Livingston said...

That's true - The Bradley effect could swing some states red. I'm not sure what data there is (if any) to give us an estimate on how big the Bradley effect can be. It will be interesting to see if states report votes inline with the polls or if the white majority shifts to McCain when they pull the lever.

9:22 PM, October 01, 2008  
Blogger Brian said...

I agree with Dixie... not so fast there speedy. Wishful thinking!

This potentially will be another long night similar to election year 2000.

11:37 AM, October 02, 2008  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

We'll see.....

1:43 PM, October 06, 2008  

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